SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sport Recife win with a probability of 38.55%. A win for Coritiba had a probability of 32.27% and a draw had a probability of 29.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sport Recife win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.73%) and 0-2 (7.5%). The likeliest Coritiba win was 1-0 (11.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Coritiba | Draw | Sport Recife |
| 32.27% | 29.18% | 38.55% |
| Both teams to score 44.03% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.31% | 62.68% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.76% | 82.24% |
| Coritiba Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.3% | 35.69% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 27.53% | 72.47% |
| Sport Recife Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.48% | 31.52% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 32.09% | 67.91% |
| Score Analysis |
| Coritiba | Draw | Sport Recife |
| 1-0 @ 11.59% 2-1 @ 6.89% 2-0 @ 5.97% 3-1 @ 2.37% 3-0 @ 2.05% 3-2 @ 1.37% Other @ 2.04% Total : 32.27% | 1-1 @ 13.38% 0-0 @ 11.25% 2-2 @ 3.98% Other @ 0.57% Total : 29.18% | 0-1 @ 12.99% 1-2 @ 7.73% 0-2 @ 7.5% 1-3 @ 2.97% 0-3 @ 2.89% 2-3 @ 1.53% Other @ 2.94% Total : 38.55% |
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