Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sport Recife win with a probability of 38.55%. A win for Coritiba had a probability of 32.27% and a draw had a probability of 29.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sport Recife win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.73%) and 0-2 (7.5%). The likeliest Coritiba win was 1-0 (11.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.