Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Internacional win with a probability of 42.11%. A win for Bahia had a probability of 30.45% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Internacional win was 0-1 with a probability of 12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.53%) and 0-2 (7.92%). The likeliest Bahia win was 1-0 (9.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Internacional would win this match.