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Brasileiro | Gameweek 26
Dec 20, 2020 at 9.15pm UK
Estádio Olímpico João Havelange
B

Flamengo
4 - 3
Bahia

Henrique (5'), Isla (33'), Pedro (82'), Vitinho (90')
Luis (71'), Natan (87')
Barbosa (10')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Pablo Ramirez (50'), Gilberto (56', 59')
Capixaba (16'), Gilberto (47'), Rodrigoinho (89')
Danielzinho (90+1')
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Flamengo and Bahia.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 71.98%. A draw had a probability of 16.6% and a win for Bahia had a probability of 11.42%.

The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.45%) and 1-0 (8.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.74%), while for a Bahia win it was 1-2 (3.36%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Flamengo would win this match.

Result
FlamengoDrawBahia
71.98%16.6%11.42%
Both teams to score 53.05%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.32%35.68%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.25%57.75%
Flamengo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.32%8.68%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
70.09%29.91%
Bahia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.09%41.91%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.64%78.36%
Score Analysis
    Flamengo 71.97%
    Bahia 11.42%
    Draw 16.6%
FlamengoDrawBahia
2-0 @ 10.86%
2-1 @ 9.45%
1-0 @ 8.89%
3-0 @ 8.85%
3-1 @ 7.7%
4-0 @ 5.41%
4-1 @ 4.71%
3-2 @ 3.35%
5-0 @ 2.64%
5-1 @ 2.3%
4-2 @ 2.05%
6-0 @ 1.08%
5-2 @ 1%
6-1 @ 0.94%
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 71.97%
1-1 @ 7.74%
2-2 @ 4.11%
0-0 @ 3.64%
3-3 @ 0.97%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 16.6%
1-2 @ 3.36%
0-1 @ 3.17%
0-2 @ 1.38%
2-3 @ 1.19%
1-3 @ 0.98%
Other @ 1.35%
Total : 11.42%

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