Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 64.29%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Bahia had a probability of 14.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.21%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.01%), while for a Bahia win it was 0-1 (5.17%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Palmeiras would win this match.
