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Brasileiro | Gameweek 1
Oct 1, 2020 at 1.30am UK
Estádio Olímpico João Havelange
B

Botafogo
1 - 2
Bahia

Raul (90+1')
Luis (28'), Barrandeguy (68')
Barrandeguy (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Gilberto (43'), Elber (85')
Capixaba (25'), Antonio (57'), Rossi (90+5')
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Botafogo and Bahia.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bahia win with a probability of 38.01%. A win for Botafogo had a probability of 34.8% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bahia win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.18%) and 0-2 (6.81%). The likeliest Botafogo win was 1-0 (10.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bahia would win this match.

Result
BotafogoDrawBahia
34.8%27.19%38.01%
Both teams to score 50.23%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.81%55.19%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.57%76.43%
Botafogo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.9%30.1%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.76%66.24%
Bahia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.86%28.14%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.18%63.83%
Score Analysis
    Botafogo 34.8%
    Bahia 38.01%
    Draw 27.18%
BotafogoDrawBahia
1-0 @ 10.17%
2-1 @ 7.74%
2-0 @ 6.11%
3-1 @ 3.1%
3-0 @ 2.44%
3-2 @ 1.96%
4-1 @ 0.93%
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 34.8%
1-1 @ 12.89%
0-0 @ 8.47%
2-2 @ 4.91%
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 27.18%
0-1 @ 10.73%
1-2 @ 8.18%
0-2 @ 6.81%
1-3 @ 3.46%
0-3 @ 2.88%
2-3 @ 2.07%
1-4 @ 1.1%
0-4 @ 0.91%
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 38.01%


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