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Brasileiro | Gameweek 12
Sep 26, 2020 at 11pm UK
Arena da Baixada
B

Athletico PR
1 - 0
Bahia

Christian (70')
Erick (26'), Moreira (53'), Heleno (57'), Alvarado Hoyos (89')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Saldanha (40')
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Athletico Paranaense and Bahia.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 48.08%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Bahia had a probability of 25.44%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.27%) and 2-1 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.49%), while for a Bahia win it was 0-1 (8.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Athletico Paranaense in this match.

Result
Athletico ParanaenseDrawBahia
48.08%26.48%25.44%
Both teams to score 47.88%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.93%56.07%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.85%77.15%
Athletico Paranaense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.64%23.35%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.68%57.32%
Bahia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.47%37.53%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.69%74.31%
Score Analysis
    Athletico Paranaense 48.07%
    Bahia 25.44%
    Draw 26.48%
Athletico ParanaenseDrawBahia
1-0 @ 12.74%
2-0 @ 9.27%
2-1 @ 9.09%
3-0 @ 4.49%
3-1 @ 4.41%
3-2 @ 2.16%
4-0 @ 1.63%
4-1 @ 1.6%
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 48.07%
1-1 @ 12.49%
0-0 @ 8.76%
2-2 @ 4.45%
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 26.48%
0-1 @ 8.59%
1-2 @ 6.12%
0-2 @ 4.21%
1-3 @ 2%
2-3 @ 1.45%
0-3 @ 1.38%
Other @ 1.69%
Total : 25.44%


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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