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Brasileiro | Gameweek 10
Sep 14, 2020 at 12.30am UK
Estádio Nilton Santos
VD

Botafogo
2 - 3
Vasco

Babi (50', 83')
Forster (15'), Kevin (52')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Ribamar (35'), Cano (71'), Catatau (72')
Benitez (7'), Bastos (29')
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Botafogo and Vasco da Gama.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vasco da Gama win with a probability of 48.17%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Botafogo had a probability of 25.77%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vasco da Gama win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.2%) and 0-2 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.35%), while for a Botafogo win it was 1-0 (8.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vasco da Gama would win this match.

Result
BotafogoDrawVasco da Gama
25.77%26.06%48.17%
Both teams to score 49.37%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.72%54.28%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.33%75.67%
Botafogo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.74%36.26%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.96%73.04%
Vasco da Gama Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.45%22.55%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.86%56.14%
Score Analysis
    Botafogo 25.77%
    Vasco da Gama 48.16%
    Draw 26.06%
BotafogoDrawVasco da Gama
1-0 @ 8.3%
2-1 @ 6.27%
2-0 @ 4.21%
3-1 @ 2.12%
3-2 @ 1.58%
3-0 @ 1.42%
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 25.77%
1-1 @ 12.35%
0-0 @ 8.18%
2-2 @ 4.67%
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 26.06%
0-1 @ 12.17%
1-2 @ 9.2%
0-2 @ 9.07%
1-3 @ 4.57%
0-3 @ 4.5%
2-3 @ 2.32%
1-4 @ 1.7%
0-4 @ 1.68%
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 48.16%


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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