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Copa do Brasil | Fourth Stage
Sep 24, 2020 at 1.30am UK
Estádio Club de Regatas Vasco da Gama
BL

Vasco
0 - 0
Botafogo


Castan (4'), Henrique (31'), Bastos (42'), Andrey (77'), Benitez (84')
FT

Forster (33'), Marcelo (84'), Honda (86')
Coverage of the Copa do Brasil Fourth Stage clash between Vasco da Gama and Botafogo.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vasco da Gama win with a probability of 46.15%. A draw had a probability of 28.5% and a win for Botafogo had a probability of 25.35%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vasco da Gama win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.52%) and 2-1 (8.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.94%), while for a Botafogo win it was 0-1 (10%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.

Result
Vasco da GamaDrawBotafogo
46.15%28.5%25.35%
Both teams to score 42.49%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.05%62.95%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.56%82.43%
Vasco da Gama Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.6%27.4%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.12%62.87%
Botafogo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.52%41.48%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.02%77.98%
Score Analysis
    Vasco da Gama 46.14%
    Botafogo 25.35%
    Draw 28.49%
Vasco da GamaDrawBotafogo
1-0 @ 14.71%
2-0 @ 9.52%
2-1 @ 8.38%
3-0 @ 4.11%
3-1 @ 3.62%
3-2 @ 1.59%
4-0 @ 1.33%
4-1 @ 1.17%
Other @ 1.71%
Total : 46.14%
1-1 @ 12.94%
0-0 @ 11.36%
2-2 @ 3.69%
Other @ 0.5%
Total : 28.49%
0-1 @ 10%
1-2 @ 5.7%
0-2 @ 4.4%
1-3 @ 1.67%
0-3 @ 1.29%
2-3 @ 1.08%
Other @ 1.2%
Total : 25.35%


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