Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vasco da Gama win with a probability of 46.15%. A draw had a probability of 28.5% and a win for Botafogo had a probability of 25.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vasco da Gama win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.52%) and 2-1 (8.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.94%), while for a Botafogo win it was 0-1 (10%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.