Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bragantino win with a probability of 40.98%. A win for Santos had a probability of 32% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bragantino win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.53%) and 2-0 (7.46%). The likeliest Santos win was 0-1 (9.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Bragantino | Draw | Santos |
40.98% | 27.02% | 32% |
Both teams to score 50.15% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.99% | 55.02% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.72% | 76.29% |
Bragantino Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.6% | 26.41% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.44% | 61.57% |
Santos Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.14% | 31.86% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.69% | 68.31% |
Score Analysis |
Bragantino | Draw | Santos |
1-0 @ 11.2% 2-1 @ 8.53% 2-0 @ 7.46% 3-1 @ 3.79% 3-0 @ 3.31% 3-2 @ 2.17% 4-1 @ 1.26% 4-0 @ 1.1% Other @ 2.16% Total : 40.98% | 1-1 @ 12.81% 0-0 @ 8.41% 2-2 @ 4.88% Other @ 0.91% Total : 27.01% | 0-1 @ 9.62% 1-2 @ 7.33% 0-2 @ 5.5% 1-3 @ 2.79% 0-3 @ 2.1% 2-3 @ 1.86% Other @ 2.8% Total : 32% |
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