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Brasileiro | Gameweek 19
Nov 1, 2020 at 9.15pm UK
Vila Belmiro, Santos
B

Santos
3 - 1
Bahia

Madson (10'), Marinho (26'), Jobson (37')
Madson (38'), Paulo (65'), Marinho (79'), Sandry (90+4')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Danielzinho (28')
Juninho (42'), Martins (80')
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Santos and Bahia.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santos win with a probability of 40.62%. A win for Bahia had a probability of 31.99% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Santos win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.41%) and 2-0 (7.51%). The likeliest Bahia win was 0-1 (9.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.94%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Santos would win this match.

Result
SantosDrawBahia
40.62%27.39%31.99%
Both teams to score 49.03%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.56%56.44%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.56%77.44%
Santos Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.74%27.26%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.31%62.69%
Bahia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.4%32.6%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.86%69.14%
Score Analysis
    Santos 40.62%
    Bahia 31.99%
    Draw 27.38%
SantosDrawBahia
1-0 @ 11.55%
2-1 @ 8.41%
2-0 @ 7.51%
3-1 @ 3.65%
3-0 @ 3.25%
3-2 @ 2.04%
4-1 @ 1.18%
4-0 @ 1.06%
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 40.62%
1-1 @ 12.94%
0-0 @ 8.89%
2-2 @ 4.72%
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 27.38%
0-1 @ 9.96%
1-2 @ 7.26%
0-2 @ 5.58%
1-3 @ 2.71%
0-3 @ 2.09%
2-3 @ 1.76%
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 31.99%


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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