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Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Oct 20, 2020 at 11.15pm UK
Vila Belmiro, Santos
DY

Santos
2 - 1
Defensa

Braga (78'), Leonardo (90+2')
Jobson (45+1'), Braga (76'), Pituca (86'), Leonardo (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Romero (51')
Romero (21'), Martinez (68')
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Santos and Defensa y Justicia.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santos win with a probability of 45.15%. A win for Defensa y Justicia had a probability of 29.11% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Santos win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.12%) and 2-0 (7.98%). The likeliest Defensa y Justicia win was 0-1 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Santos would win this match.

Result
SantosDrawDefensa y Justicia
45.15%25.74%29.11%
Both teams to score 52.74%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.95%51.05%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.09%72.91%
Santos Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.44%22.56%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.85%56.16%
Defensa y Justicia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.11%31.89%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.67%68.33%
Score Analysis
    Santos 45.15%
    Defensa y Justicia 29.11%
    Draw 25.74%
SantosDrawDefensa y Justicia
1-0 @ 10.71%
2-1 @ 9.12%
2-0 @ 7.98%
3-1 @ 4.52%
3-0 @ 3.96%
3-2 @ 2.59%
4-1 @ 1.68%
4-0 @ 1.47%
4-2 @ 0.96%
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 45.15%
1-1 @ 12.24%
0-0 @ 7.19%
2-2 @ 5.21%
3-3 @ 0.99%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.74%
0-1 @ 8.22%
1-2 @ 7%
0-2 @ 4.7%
1-3 @ 2.67%
2-3 @ 1.98%
0-3 @ 1.79%
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 29.11%


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