Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Corinthians win with a probability of 36.25%. A win for Ceara had a probability of 35.73% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Corinthians win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.77%) and 0-2 (6.65%). The likeliest Ceara win was 1-0 (11.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.