Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ceara win with a probability of 54.29%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Goias had a probability of 19.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ceara win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.3%) and 2-1 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.95%), while for a Goias win it was 0-1 (7.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.
