Chape have conceded five goals in their previous two home games and allowed 24 shots in their defeat to Gremio, but lucky for them, Atletico are not all that clinical in the final third, but they should be able to bury at least one of their opportunities as the team at the bottom of the table allow their fair share of them each game.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chapecoense win with a probability of 37.81%. A win for Atletico Goianiense had a probability of 34.26% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chapecoense win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.98%) and 2-0 (6.99%). The likeliest Atletico Goianiense win was 0-1 (10.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Atletico Goianiense in this match.
