Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 59.73%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Chapecoense had a probability of 18.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.61%) and 1-2 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.49%), while for a Chapecoense win it was 1-0 (5.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.

Result
Chapecoense	Draw	Flamengo
18.17%	22.09%	59.73%

Both teams to score 51.45%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.5%

46.5%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.22%

68.78%

Chapecoense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.65%

39.35%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.95%

76.05%

Flamengo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.83%

15.17%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.23%

43.77%

Score Analysis

Chapecoense 18.17%

Flamengo 59.72%

Draw 22.09%

Chapecoense	Draw	Flamengo
1-0 @ 5.57% 2-1 @ 4.9% 2-0 @ 2.6% 3-1 @ 1.52% 3-2 @ 1.44% Other @ 2.16% Total : 18.17%	1-1 @ 10.49% 0-0 @ 5.97% 2-2 @ 4.62% 3-3 @ 0.9% Other @ 0.11% Total : 22.09%	0-1 @ 11.25% 0-2 @ 10.61% 1-2 @ 9.9% 0-3 @ 6.67% 1-3 @ 6.22% 0-4 @ 3.15% 1-4 @ 2.94% 2-3 @ 2.9% 2-4 @ 1.37% 0-5 @ 1.19% 1-5 @ 1.11% Other @ 2.42% Total : 59.72%