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S
Brasileiro | Gameweek 33
Nov 17, 2021 at 10pm UK
Vila Belmiro, Santos
C

Santos
2 - 0
Chapecoense

Marinho (27' pen.), Guilherme (84')
Gabriel (45+4')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Jordan (24'), Busanello (29')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santos win with a probability of 57.33%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Chapecoense had a probability of 16.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Santos win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.58%) and 2-1 (8.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.5%), while for a Chapecoense win it was 0-1 (7.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Santos would win this match.

Result
SantosDrawChapecoense
57.33%25.68%16.99%
Both teams to score 39.56%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.71%61.29%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.79%81.21%
Santos Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.45%21.54%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.38%54.62%
Chapecoense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.42%49.58%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.64%84.36%
Score Analysis
    Santos 57.32%
    Chapecoense 16.99%
    Draw 25.68%
SantosDrawChapecoense
1-0 @ 16.39%
2-0 @ 12.58%
2-1 @ 8.83%
3-0 @ 6.44%
3-1 @ 4.52%
4-0 @ 2.47%
4-1 @ 1.73%
3-2 @ 1.59%
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 57.32%
1-1 @ 11.5%
0-0 @ 10.68%
2-2 @ 3.1%
Other @ 0.4%
Total : 25.68%
0-1 @ 7.5%
1-2 @ 4.04%
0-2 @ 2.63%
1-3 @ 0.94%
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 16.99%

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