Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Internacional win with a probability of 40.66%. A win for Chapecoense had a probability of 31.31% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Internacional win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.25%) and 0-2 (7.73%). The likeliest Chapecoense win was 1-0 (10.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Internacional would win this match.

Result
Chapecoense	Draw	Internacional
31.31%	28.03%	40.66%

Both teams to score 46.94%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.04%

58.97%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.56%

79.44%

Chapecoense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.59%

34.41%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.89%

71.12%

Internacional Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.56%

28.44%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.79%

64.21%

Score Analysis

Chapecoense 31.31%

Internacional 40.65%

Draw 28.02%

Chapecoense	Draw	Internacional
1-0 @ 10.44% 2-1 @ 7% 2-0 @ 5.57% 3-1 @ 2.49% 3-0 @ 1.98% 3-2 @ 1.57% Other @ 2.26% Total : 31.31%	1-1 @ 13.12% 0-0 @ 9.79% 2-2 @ 4.4% Other @ 0.71% Total : 28.02%	0-1 @ 12.3% 1-2 @ 8.25% 0-2 @ 7.73% 1-3 @ 3.46% 0-3 @ 3.24% 2-3 @ 1.85% 1-4 @ 1.09% 0-4 @ 1.02% Other @ 1.72% Total : 40.65%