Palmeiras
3 - 1
Chapecoense

Wesley (7', 42'), Adriano (15')
Wesley (71'), Veiga (90+3')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Busanello (55')

Data Analysis

Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Palmeiras and Chapecoense.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 57.87%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Chapecoense had a probability of 17.93%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.72%) and 2-1 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.33%), while for a Chapecoense win it was 0-1 (6.8%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Palmeiras would win this match.

Result
Palmeiras	Draw	Chapecoense
57.87%	24.2%	17.93%

Both teams to score 44.85%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.88%

55.12%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.63%

76.37%

Palmeiras Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.1%

18.89%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.62%

50.38%

Chapecoense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.3%

44.7%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.31%

80.69%

Score Analysis

Palmeiras 57.86%

Chapecoense 17.93%

Draw 24.2%

Palmeiras	Draw	Chapecoense
1-0 @ 14.07% 2-0 @ 11.72% 2-1 @ 9.44% 3-0 @ 6.51% 3-1 @ 5.24% 4-0 @ 2.71% 4-1 @ 2.19% 3-2 @ 2.11% 5-0 @ 0.9% Other @ 2.96% Total : 57.86%	1-1 @ 11.33% 0-0 @ 8.45% 2-2 @ 3.8% Other @ 0.62% Total : 24.2%	0-1 @ 6.8% 1-2 @ 4.56% 0-2 @ 2.74% 1-3 @ 1.22% 2-3 @ 1.02% Other @ 1.59% Total : 17.93%