Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bragantino win with a probability of 38.69%. A win for Coritiba had a probability of 34.74% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bragantino win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.37%) and 0-2 (6.75%). The likeliest Coritiba win was 1-0 (9.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Bragantino in this match.
0.01) 
-0.02) 
