Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coritiba win with a probability of 39.59%. A win for America Mineiro had a probability of 32.78% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Coritiba win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.25%) and 2-0 (7.33%). The likeliest America Mineiro win was 0-1 (10.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Coritiba would win this match.
Result | ||
Coritiba | Draw | America Mineiro |
39.59% (![]() | 27.63% (![]() | 32.78% (![]() |
Both teams to score 48.51% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.82% (![]() | 57.18% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.96% (![]() | 78.04% (![]() |
Coritiba Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.81% (![]() | 28.19% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.11% (![]() | 63.89% (![]() |
America Mineiro Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.56% (![]() | 32.44% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.04% (![]() | 68.96% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Coritiba | Draw | America Mineiro |
1-0 @ 11.58% (![]() 2-1 @ 8.25% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 7.33% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.48% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 3.09% 3-2 @ 1.96% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.1% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 0.98% ( ![]() Other @ 1.81% Total : 39.59% | 1-1 @ 13.03% 0-0 @ 9.15% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.65% ( ![]() Other @ 0.81% Total : 27.63% | 0-1 @ 10.29% 1-2 @ 7.34% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 5.8% 1-3 @ 2.75% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.18% 2-3 @ 1.74% ( ![]() Other @ 2.68% Total : 32.77% |
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