Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortaleza win with a probability of 56.84%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Bragantino had a probability of 19.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortaleza win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.87%) and 2-1 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.29%), while for a Bragantino win it was 0-1 (6.6%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.
-0.02) 
0.01) 
