Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 60.94%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Cuiaba had a probability of 17.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.01%) and 1-2 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.39%), while for a Cuiaba win it was 1-0 (5.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Flamengo would win this match.