Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 53.52%. A win for Velez Sarsfield had a probability of 23.53% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.48%) and 2-0 (8.65%). The likeliest Velez Sarsfield win was 1-2 (6.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.
