Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 63.6%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Cuiaba had a probability of 14.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.47%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.24%), while for a Cuiaba win it was 0-1 (5.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.
