Fluminense
2 - 1
Vasco

Moreira (3'), Fred (82')
Yuri (16'), Fred (90+2'), Juliao (90+4'), Silva (90+6')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Magno (86')
Bastos (12')
Magno (90+4')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Fluminense and Vasco da Gama.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fluminense win with a probability of 38.82%. A win for Vasco da Gama had a probability of 33.24% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.1%) and 2-0 (7.24%). The likeliest Vasco da Gama win was 0-1 (10.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fluminense would win this match.

Result
Fluminense	Draw	Vasco da Gama
38.82%	27.94%	33.24%

Both teams to score 47.71%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.77%

58.23%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.13%

78.87%

Fluminense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.86%

29.14%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.93%

65.07%

Vasco da Gama Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.33%

32.66%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.79%

69.21%

Score Analysis

Fluminense 38.82%

Vasco da Gama 33.24%

Draw 27.93%

Fluminense	Draw	Vasco da Gama
1-0 @ 11.73% 2-1 @ 8.1% 2-0 @ 7.24% 3-1 @ 3.33% 3-0 @ 2.97% 3-2 @ 1.86% 4-1 @ 1.03% 4-0 @ 0.92% Other @ 1.65% Total : 38.82%	1-1 @ 13.13% 0-0 @ 9.52% 2-2 @ 4.53% Other @ 0.76% Total : 27.93%	0-1 @ 10.65% 1-2 @ 7.35% 0-2 @ 5.96% 1-3 @ 2.74% 0-3 @ 2.22% 2-3 @ 1.69% Other @ 2.63% Total : 33.24%