Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fluminense win with a probability of 53.55%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Fortaleza had a probability of 21.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.53%) and 2-1 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.88%), while for a Fortaleza win it was 0-1 (7.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fluminense would win this match.