Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortaleza win with a probability of 36.63%. A win for Fluminense had a probability of 35.1% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortaleza win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.75%) and 2-0 (6.8%). The likeliest Fluminense win was 0-1 (11.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.