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F
Brasileiro | Gameweek 12
Jul 18, 2021 at 1am UK
Estádio Olímpico João Havelange
G

Fluminense
0 - 1
Gremio


Lucca (77')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Pinares (90' pen.)
Henrique (42'), Kannemann (46'), Pyerre (90+8')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gremio win with a probability of 39.38%. A win for Fluminense had a probability of 31.94% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gremio win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.96%) and 0-2 (7.59%). The likeliest Fluminense win was 1-0 (11.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.28%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Gremio in this match.

Result
FluminenseDrawGremio
31.94%28.67%39.38%
Both teams to score 45.32%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.94%61.06%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.96%81.04%
Fluminense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.93%35.06%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.19%71.81%
Gremio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.8%30.2%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.64%66.36%
Score Analysis
    Fluminense 31.93%
    Gremio 39.37%
    Draw 28.66%
FluminenseDrawGremio
1-0 @ 11.09%
2-1 @ 6.96%
2-0 @ 5.82%
3-1 @ 2.43%
3-0 @ 2.03%
3-2 @ 1.46%
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 31.93%
1-1 @ 13.28%
0-0 @ 10.58%
2-2 @ 4.17%
Other @ 0.63%
Total : 28.66%
0-1 @ 12.67%
1-2 @ 7.96%
0-2 @ 7.59%
1-3 @ 3.18%
0-3 @ 3.03%
2-3 @ 1.66%
1-4 @ 0.95%
0-4 @ 0.91%
Other @ 1.43%
Total : 39.37%

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