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Copa Libertadores | Round of 16 | 1st Leg
Jul 13, 2021 at 11.15pm UK
Estadio General Pablo Rojas
F

Cerro Porteno
0 - 2
Fluminense


Duarte (27')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Nene (49'), Egidio (61')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fluminense win with a probability of 43.18%. A win for Cerro Porteno had a probability of 31.01% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.95%) and 0-2 (7.49%). The likeliest Cerro Porteno win was 1-0 (8.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fluminense would win this match.

Result
Cerro PortenoDrawFluminense
31.01%25.81%43.18%
Both teams to score 53.52%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.5%50.5%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.58%72.43%
Cerro Porteno Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.74%30.26%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.57%66.43%
Fluminense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.74%23.26%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.82%57.19%
Score Analysis
    Cerro Porteno 31.01%
    Fluminense 43.18%
    Draw 25.81%
Cerro PortenoDrawFluminense
1-0 @ 8.41%
2-1 @ 7.33%
2-0 @ 5.03%
3-1 @ 2.92%
3-2 @ 2.13%
3-0 @ 2%
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 31.01%
1-1 @ 12.27%
0-0 @ 7.04%
2-2 @ 5.35%
3-3 @ 1.04%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.81%
0-1 @ 10.26%
1-2 @ 8.95%
0-2 @ 7.49%
1-3 @ 4.35%
0-3 @ 3.64%
2-3 @ 2.6%
1-4 @ 1.59%
0-4 @ 1.33%
2-4 @ 0.95%
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 43.18%

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