SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gremio win with a probability of 55.93%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Fortaleza had a probability of 18.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gremio win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.73%) and 2-1 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.71%), while for a Fortaleza win it was 0-1 (7.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Gremio | Draw | Fortaleza |
| 55.93% | 25.42% | 18.64% |
| Both teams to score 42.78% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.47% | 58.52% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.9% | 79.1% |
| Gremio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.01% | 20.99% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 46.25% | 53.75% |
| Fortaleza Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.14% | 45.86% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 18.39% | 81.61% |
| Score Analysis |
| Gremio | Draw | Fortaleza |
| 1-0 @ 15.02% 2-0 @ 11.73% 2-1 @ 9.15% 3-0 @ 6.11% 3-1 @ 4.76% 4-0 @ 2.38% 4-1 @ 1.86% 3-2 @ 1.86% Other @ 3.07% Total : 55.92% | 1-1 @ 11.71% 0-0 @ 9.63% 2-2 @ 3.56% Other @ 0.52% Total : 25.42% | 0-1 @ 7.5% 1-2 @ 4.57% 0-2 @ 2.92% 1-3 @ 1.19% 2-3 @ 0.93% Other @ 1.54% Total : 18.64% |
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