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Copa do Brasil | Round of 16
Oct 14, 2020 at 11.15pm UK
Estádio Municipal Presidente Getúlio Vargas
SP

Fortaleza
3 - 3
Sao Paulo

David (6'), Tinga (20'), Dias (66')
Felipe (41'), Alves (54'), Walef Araujo da Silva (64')
Alves (59'), Carlinhos (88')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Brenner (16', 90+5'), Luciano (44')
Reinaldo (79')
Coverage of the Copa do Brasil Round of 16 clash between Fortaleza and Sao Paulo.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 37.64%. A win for Fortaleza had a probability of 34.59% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8%) and 0-2 (6.9%). The likeliest Fortaleza win was 1-0 (10.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.09%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.

Result
FortalezaDrawSao Paulo
34.59%27.76%37.64%
Both teams to score 48.44%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.58%57.42%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.77%78.23%
Fortaleza Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.65%31.34%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.29%67.71%
Sao Paulo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.56%29.44%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.56%65.44%
Score Analysis
    Fortaleza 34.59%
    Sao Paulo 37.64%
    Draw 27.76%
FortalezaDrawSao Paulo
1-0 @ 10.7%
2-1 @ 7.59%
2-0 @ 6.21%
3-1 @ 2.94%
3-0 @ 2.4%
3-2 @ 1.8%
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 34.59%
1-1 @ 13.09%
0-0 @ 9.23%
2-2 @ 4.64%
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 27.76%
0-1 @ 11.28%
1-2 @ 8%
0-2 @ 6.9%
1-3 @ 3.26%
0-3 @ 2.81%
2-3 @ 1.89%
1-4 @ 1%
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 37.64%


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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