Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fluminense win with a probability of 41.48%. A win for Botafogo had a probability of 31.64% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.61%) and 0-2 (7.53%). The likeliest Botafogo win was 1-0 (9.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.