Gremio
4 - 2
Ceara

Pyerre (20'), Pepe (33'), Souza (40'), Churin (70')
Braz (87')

FT(HT: 3-1)

Kelvyn (37'), Tiago (90+1')
Naressi (83'), Jacare (90+5')

Data Analysis

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gremio win with a probability of 59.74%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Ceara had a probability of 16.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gremio win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.59%) and 2-1 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.09%), while for a Ceara win it was 0-1 (6.66%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gremio would win this match.

Result
Gremio	Draw	Ceara
59.74%	24.05%	16.21%

Both teams to score 42.16%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.02%

56.98%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.12%

77.88%

Gremio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.1%

18.9%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.62%

50.38%

Ceara Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

51.98%

48.02%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.75%

83.25%

Score Analysis

Gremio 59.73%

Ceara 16.21%

Draw 24.05%

Gremio	Draw	Ceara
1-0 @ 15.11% 2-0 @ 12.59% 2-1 @ 9.24% 3-0 @ 7% 3-1 @ 5.13% 4-0 @ 2.91% 4-1 @ 2.14% 3-2 @ 1.88% 5-0 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.75% Total : 59.73%	1-1 @ 11.09% 0-0 @ 9.07% 2-2 @ 3.39% Other @ 0.5% Total : 24.05%	0-1 @ 6.66% 1-2 @ 4.07% 0-2 @ 2.44% 1-3 @ 1% Other @ 2.05% Total : 16.21%