Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gremio win with a probability of 38.61%. A draw had a probability of 33.1% and a win for Juventude had a probability of 28.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gremio win was 0-1 with a probability of 16.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.16%) and 1-2 (6.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (17.24%), while for a Juventude win it was 1-0 (13.53%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 16.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Gremio in this match.