Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 42.67%. A draw had a probability of 28.9% and a win for Gremio had a probability of 28.47%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.56%) and 2-1 (8.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.2%), while for a Gremio win it was 0-1 (10.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.