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AP
Brasileiro | Gameweek 18
Oct 25, 2020 at 9.15pm UK
Arena da Baixada
G

Athletico PR
1 - 2
Gremio

Eduardo (44')
Nikao (53'), Christian (65'), Vinicius (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Heleno (56' og.), Ferreira (88')
Everton (29')
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Athletico Paranaense and Gremio.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 42.67%. A draw had a probability of 28.9% and a win for Gremio had a probability of 28.47%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.56%) and 2-1 (8.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.2%), while for a Gremio win it was 0-1 (10.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.

Result
Athletico ParanaenseDrawGremio
42.67%28.86%28.47%
Both teams to score 43.53%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.35%62.64%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.79%82.21%
Athletico Paranaense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.89%29.11%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.97%65.03%
Gremio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.4%38.6%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.66%75.34%
Score Analysis
    Athletico Paranaense 42.66%
    Gremio 28.47%
    Draw 28.85%
Athletico ParanaenseDrawGremio
1-0 @ 13.86%
2-0 @ 8.56%
2-1 @ 8.15%
3-0 @ 3.52%
3-1 @ 3.35%
3-2 @ 1.6%
4-0 @ 1.09%
4-1 @ 1.03%
Other @ 1.51%
Total : 42.66%
1-1 @ 13.2%
0-0 @ 11.23%
2-2 @ 3.88%
Other @ 0.55%
Total : 28.85%
0-1 @ 10.69%
1-2 @ 6.28%
0-2 @ 5.09%
1-3 @ 1.99%
0-3 @ 1.62%
2-3 @ 1.23%
Other @ 1.57%
Total : 28.47%


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