Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gremio win with a probability of 60.93%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Fortaleza had a probability of 16.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gremio win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.5%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.58%), while for a Fortaleza win it was 0-1 (5.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.
