Fortaleza
1 - 0
Sport

Paulista (54' pen.)
Romarinho (56'), Felipe (61'), Quintero (64'), David (68'), Ronald (84')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Betinho (56')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Fortaleza and Sport Recife.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortaleza win with a probability of 44.99%. A draw had a probability of 27.8% and a win for Sport Recife had a probability of 27.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fortaleza win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.87%) and 2-1 (8.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.92%), while for a Sport Recife win it was 0-1 (9.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Fortaleza in this match.

Result
Fortaleza	Draw	Sport Recife
44.99%	27.76%	27.25%

Both teams to score 45.7%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.45%

59.55%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.1%

79.89%

Fortaleza Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.59%

26.4%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.43%

61.57%

Sport Recife Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.1%

37.9%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.33%

74.66%

Score Analysis

Fortaleza 44.98%

Sport Recife 27.25%

Draw 27.75%

Fortaleza	Draw	Sport Recife
1-0 @ 13.32% 2-0 @ 8.87% 2-1 @ 8.61% 3-0 @ 3.94% 3-1 @ 3.82% 3-2 @ 1.85% 4-0 @ 1.31% 4-1 @ 1.27% Other @ 1.98% Total : 44.98%	1-1 @ 12.92% 0-0 @ 10% 2-2 @ 4.18% Other @ 0.65% Total : 27.75%	0-1 @ 9.71% 1-2 @ 6.27% 0-2 @ 4.71% 1-3 @ 2.03% 0-3 @ 1.52% 2-3 @ 1.35% Other @ 1.65% Total : 27.25%