Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventude win with a probability of 37.8%. A win for Bahia had a probability of 37.59% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Juventude win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.81%) and 2-0 (5.74%). The likeliest Bahia win was 1-2 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Juventude in this match.

Result
Juventude	Draw	Bahia
37.8% ( 0.11)	24.61% ( -0)	37.59% ( -0.1)

Both teams to score 59.2% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.19% (

0.01)

43.81% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.8% (

0.01)

66.2% (

-0.01)

Juventude Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.99% (

0.06)

23.01% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.19% (

0.09)

56.81% (

-0.08)

Bahia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.89% (

-0.05)

23.12% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.03% (

-0.07)

56.97% (

0.07)

Score Analysis

Juventude 37.8%

Bahia 37.59%

Draw 24.61%

Juventude	Draw	Bahia
2-1 @ 8.41% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 7.81% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 5.74% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 4.12% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.02% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.81% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.51% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.11% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.03% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.24% Total : 37.8%	1-1 @ 11.44% 2-2 @ 6.16% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5.32% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.47% ( 0) Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.61%	1-2 @ 8.38% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 7.79% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 5.71% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 4.09% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.01% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.79% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.5% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.1% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.02% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.21% Total : 37.59%