Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 70.75%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Juventude had a probability of 10.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.05%) and 3-0 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.78%), while for a Juventude win it was 0-1 (4.16%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Flamengo would win this match.
-0.19) 
0.06) 
