Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bahia win with a probability of 43.78%. A win for Flamengo had a probability of 29.56% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bahia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.84%) and 2-0 (8.05%). The likeliest Flamengo win was 0-1 (9.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.

Result
Bahia	Draw	Flamengo
43.78% ( 0.13)	26.65% ( 0.02)	29.56% ( -0.15)

Both teams to score 50.21% (

-0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.55% (

-0.12)

54.45% (

0.12)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.19% (

-0.1)

75.81% (

0.1)

Bahia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.3% (

0.01)

24.7% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.76% (

0.02)

59.24% (

-0.02)

Flamengo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.68% (

-0.17)

33.32% (

0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.06% (

-0.19)

69.94% (

0.19)

Score Analysis

Bahia 43.78%

Flamengo 29.56%

Draw 26.64%

Bahia	Draw	Flamengo
1-0 @ 11.5% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 8.84% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.05% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 4.12% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.75% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.27% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.44% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.31% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.49% Total : 43.78%	1-1 @ 12.64% 0-0 @ 8.23% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 4.86% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.92% Total : 26.64%	0-1 @ 9.04% 1-2 @ 6.95% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 4.97% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.55% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.82% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.78% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.45% Total : 29.56%