Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 57.65%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Bragantino had a probability of 19.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.27%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.82%), while for a Bragantino win it was 0-1 (5.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Palmeiras in this match.
