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Brasileiro | Gameweek 25
Dec 12, 2020 at 8pm UK
Diogao
F

Bragantino
2 - 1
Fortaleza

Carlinhos (13' og.), Anderson (88')
Evangelista (29'), Ligger (45'), Candido (70')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Juninho (45+1' pen.)
Bergson (9'), Felipe (78')
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Bragantino and Fortaleza.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bragantino win with a probability of 45.84%. A win for Fortaleza had a probability of 27.17% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bragantino win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.88%) and 2-0 (8.8%). The likeliest Fortaleza win was 0-1 (9.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bragantino would win this match.

Result
BragantinoDrawFortaleza
45.84%26.99%27.17%
Both teams to score 47.79%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.14%56.85%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.22%77.78%
Bragantino Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.24%24.75%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.68%59.32%
Fortaleza Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.52%36.48%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.73%73.27%
Score Analysis
    Bragantino 45.83%
    Fortaleza 27.17%
    Draw 26.98%
BragantinoDrawFortaleza
1-0 @ 12.6%
2-1 @ 8.88%
2-0 @ 8.8%
3-1 @ 4.13%
3-0 @ 4.1%
3-2 @ 2.08%
4-1 @ 1.44%
4-0 @ 1.43%
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 45.83%
1-1 @ 12.71%
0-0 @ 9.03%
2-2 @ 4.48%
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 26.98%
0-1 @ 9.11%
1-2 @ 6.41%
0-2 @ 4.59%
1-3 @ 2.16%
0-3 @ 1.54%
2-3 @ 1.5%
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 27.17%

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