Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 40.94%. A win for Santos had a probability of 32.15% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.55%) and 0-2 (7.41%). The likeliest Santos win was 1-0 (9.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.
