Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 53.21%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Santos had a probability of 21.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.64%) and 2-1 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.99%), while for a Santos win it was 0-1 (7.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Palmeiras would win this match.