Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sport Recife win with a probability of 48.1%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Santos had a probability of 25.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sport Recife win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.28%) and 2-1 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.49%), while for a Santos win it was 0-1 (8.59%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Sport Recife | Draw | Santos |
48.1% | 26.48% | 25.42% |
Both teams to score 47.86% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.9% | 56.1% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.83% | 77.17% |
Sport Recife Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.65% | 23.36% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.68% | 57.32% |
Santos Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.44% | 37.56% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.66% | 74.34% |
Score Analysis |
Sport Recife | Draw | Santos |
1-0 @ 12.75% 2-0 @ 9.28% 2-1 @ 9.09% 3-0 @ 4.5% 3-1 @ 4.4% 3-2 @ 2.16% 4-0 @ 1.64% 4-1 @ 1.6% Other @ 2.68% Total : 48.09% | 1-1 @ 12.49% 0-0 @ 8.77% 2-2 @ 4.45% Other @ 0.77% Total : 26.48% | 0-1 @ 8.59% 1-2 @ 6.12% 0-2 @ 4.21% 1-3 @ 2% 2-3 @ 1.45% 0-3 @ 1.37% Other @ 1.68% Total : 25.42% |
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