Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sport Recife win with a probability of 48.1%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Santos had a probability of 25.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sport Recife win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.28%) and 2-1 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.49%), while for a Santos win it was 0-1 (8.59%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.