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Brasileiro | Gameweek 4
Aug 21, 2020 at 12am UK
Estadio do Morumbi
B

Sao Paulo
1 - 1
Bahia

Luciano (85')
Bueno (30'), Sara (90')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Rossi (21')
Gregore (60'), Zeca (90+6')
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Sao Paulo and Bahia.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 50.68%. A draw had a probability of 27.8% and a win for Bahia had a probability of 21.51%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.86%) and 2-1 (8.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.46%), while for a Bahia win it was 0-1 (9.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.

Result
Sao PauloDrawBahia
50.68%27.81%21.51%
Both teams to score 40.67%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
36.63%63.37%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.27%82.73%
Sao Paulo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.63%25.37%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.83%60.17%
Bahia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.49%45.51%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.67%81.33%
Score Analysis
    Sao Paulo 50.68%
    Bahia 21.51%
    Draw 27.8%
Sao PauloDrawBahia
1-0 @ 15.83%
2-0 @ 10.86%
2-1 @ 8.55%
3-0 @ 4.97%
3-1 @ 3.91%
4-0 @ 1.7%
3-2 @ 1.54%
4-1 @ 1.34%
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 50.68%
1-1 @ 12.46%
0-0 @ 11.54%
2-2 @ 3.37%
Other @ 0.43%
Total : 27.8%
0-1 @ 9.09%
1-2 @ 4.91%
0-2 @ 3.58%
1-3 @ 1.29%
0-3 @ 0.94%
Other @ 1.71%
Total : 21.51%


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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