Both sides have been hot and cold in recent weeks as they both tend to do just enough to win once in a while, so we expect that both sides would be content with a point, knowing that it would keep each of them above the relegation line heading into the final round of matches next Thursday.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 63.07%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Juventude had a probability of 13.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.05%) and 2-1 (8.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.46%), while for a Juventude win it was 0-1 (6.2%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sao Paulo would win this match.
