Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventude win with a probability of 38.4%. A win for Fluminense had a probability of 32.12% and a draw had a probability of 29.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juventude win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.62%) and 2-0 (7.53%). The likeliest Fluminense win was 0-1 (11.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Juventude in this match.