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Brasileiro | Gameweek 33
Nov 17, 2021 at 11.30pm UK
Estadio Alfredo Jaconi
F

Juventude
1 - 0
Fluminense

Mendes (18')
Castilho (73'), Capixaba (82')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Lucca (45+2')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventude win with a probability of 38.4%. A win for Fluminense had a probability of 32.12% and a draw had a probability of 29.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Juventude win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.62%) and 2-0 (7.53%). The likeliest Fluminense win was 0-1 (11.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Juventude in this match.

Result
JuventudeDrawFluminense
38.4%29.48%32.12%
Both teams to score 43.21%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
36.32%63.68%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.05%82.95%
Juventude Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.88%32.12%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.4%68.6%
Fluminense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.65%36.35%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.87%73.13%
Score Analysis
    Juventude 38.39%
    Fluminense 32.12%
    Draw 29.47%
JuventudeDrawFluminense
1-0 @ 13.25%
2-1 @ 7.62%
2-0 @ 7.53%
3-1 @ 2.88%
3-0 @ 2.85%
3-2 @ 1.46%
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 38.39%
1-1 @ 13.41%
0-0 @ 11.67%
2-2 @ 3.86%
Other @ 0.53%
Total : 29.47%
0-1 @ 11.81%
1-2 @ 6.79%
0-2 @ 5.98%
1-3 @ 2.29%
0-3 @ 2.02%
2-3 @ 1.3%
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 32.12%

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