Juve have only won one of their last 10 road fixtures in Serie A, but we anticipate that they will be able to come away with a point in this one because they need this game a lot more than their opponents do, so we expect more urgency on their part.
Fortaleza seem pretty content with their place in the standings as they have not appeared too interested in climbing up the table, but at the same time they have some outstanding individuals who can carry their team, and we expect that to be the case in this one.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortaleza win with a probability of 56.55%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Juventude had a probability of 18.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortaleza win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.64%) and 2-1 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.58%), while for a Juventude win it was 0-1 (7.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Fortaleza in this match.
