SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria win with a probability of 38.8%. A win for Corinthians had a probability of 32.26% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.82%) and 2-0 (7.51%). The likeliest Corinthians win was 0-1 (11.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Vitoria | Draw | Corinthians |
38.8% ( 0.15) | 28.93% ( 0.09) | 32.26% ( -0.25) |
| Both teams to score 44.7% ( -0.31) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.13% ( -0.35) | 61.87% ( 0.35) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.36% ( -0.26) | 81.64% ( 0.26) |
| Vitoria Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.04% ( -0.09) | 30.95% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 32.75% ( -0.1) | 67.25% ( 0.1) |
| Corinthians Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.73% ( -0.37) | 35.26% ( 0.36) |
